SympathysSilhouette

As for how quickly things are going, it's all relative. The Donbas offensive has already taken longer than some of the major battles of WWII. e.g. the Battle of Kursk.

It's considered a basic tactic to have a 4-6 week break to allow for the logistical demands of a change of objective/new front lines. In any case I will be very, very surprised if Russia realize their objectives in the South (which is essentially capturing everything up to Odessa) by New Year.

Well I guess we will find out. Most experts seem to expect a strategic pause in late Summer, so they can start the Fall offensive in October.

Why would you assume the war ends in 2022? The only scenario in which that might end up remotely true is a Fall offensive on the part of Russia that is far more successful than anything we have seen from them so far. I'll believe it when I see it.

It's not propaganda to believe that many of the 10K tanks are not battle-worthy. You seem to interpret the 10K number as if they could throw 10K tanks into battle tomorrow. I believe the 10K number is more two categories: tanks that could be made battle-ready with some minor work. And then the second category: scrap metal. I believe the second category is quite big, though it's impossible to know how big, obviously. If you believe otherwise, tell me why Russia would have carefully maintained 10K tanks for decades, when there was no immediate reason to assume they would ever need them in those numbers?

The analysis suggests their current stock of necessary electronics would run out sometime next year. So even the people who pointed out this weakness did not suggest this would immediately be visible in the field. They could also try to solve the problem somewhat with some sort of shady deal with China in which they import them via that way. But I'm guessing the U.S. is watching this potential channel like a hawk already.

Repeating myself, but 10K in storage doesn't mean anything if most of them aren't battle-worthy. The large majority of those will not have moved since the 1990s.

As for the electronics for their more advanced missiles this is 100% a real thing. Even though we are in war-time production, the two major companies that produce them in Russia are only operating at 120% of normal production. This is due to a limited stock of foreign-bought (western) electronics that they won't be able to easily replace once they run out. Several country's military intelligence estimates say that they will definitely run out by the end of next year, and that is assuming that production isn't heightened at some point. If they do move into a real war-time production then they will run out much sooner.

Do you believe that Russian has 10K battle-ready tanks? You don't have to guzzle down Ukrainian propaganda to know that there is zero chance of that being true. How much value do you think a T-72 that was moth-balled in the mid-90s has in 2022?

I'm sure that Vlad has plentiful men to still throw into the meat grinder but it's pretty clear that in terms of equipment they are starting to feel the pain. They lack some of the materials for the missiles they were launching at the start of the war. We have seen T-62s in the field. If they had plentiful more recent tanks they wouldn't get sixty year old vehicles out of storage.

She also had a fantastic SISE shoot that year:

Brandy is insanely beautiful!

Was 2016 Hannah peak Hannah? I think she might have been!

Their strategic goals are to secure the Donbas by late August, then take a strategic pause, only to start a fall offensive to the the South up to Odessa. Probably starting that around mid October. Personally I don't believe they have enough left in terms of equipment and good troops to realize their ambitions in the South, but I might be wrong.

Lo has a better face. But I would say Taylor wins most other categories.

Thanks for all the new content, VS19! Nathalya is an absolute delight.

Thanks VS19! Would love it if this topic gets a bit more traffic again.

I miss Nathalya content! I always love seeing her cute smile.

I think Pettyfer's listed height is probably bullshit. I don't believe he is 1m81 based on those pictures of him standing next to Toni.

Source: Guess

I doubt any of these shows will recapture the imagination like early GoT.

+1

Source: Guess

Christen Harper!

Superb quality in every department, not counting goalkeeper. If Pep is truly interested in a NT job after Man City, they should hire him for the England gig.