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The "What Are You Thinking About Right Now?" PIP


Francesca

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4 hours ago, SympathysSilhouette said:

Russia have amassed 100K men for the Kharkov offensive. Will be interesting to see how the Ukrainians cope. It's been a while since the Russians last launched an offensive of that scale.

Well the last time was Feb-March 2022 with 170,000 men and approx 2800 tanks.

 

The 100,000 is a Ukrainian military claim (Eastern military command) that could be very well a lie like their countless huge lies about the Russian forces and the war in general.  (100,000 men, 900 tanks, 555 artillery pieces, 370 SP Guns). 

 

They also claimed a Russian 2022-2023 winter offensive, even from Belarus- that never happened with 200,000-150,000 men for about 3 months.  Both military and political top constantly lied about it, in retrospect these big lies was a scheme to manipulate public opinion and get more aid from the West.

 

If they spent the rest of the summer pumping up the ' 100,000 ' like in the winter 2022-2023 it could very well be public opinion 'damage' control for their currently failing counteroffensive.  They also recently claimed that they lost 30% of their armored vehicles in the past 6 weeks which is an unusual thing for them to do (admit any sort of military incompetence).

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The frontline from Kupiansk down to Bakhmut is currently engaged in positional warfare with Russia having glacial paced territorial gains.  This is not new as the frontline has been very, very slowly shifting to the West since Ukrainian offensive ended in Oct 2022.

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