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Posted

Kursk%20Direction%20March%2008,%202025.p

 

The Russians also attacked and advanced in the neck of Kursk 'bridgehead' after holding them in place for months.

 

It seems like they might try to squeeze the Ukrainians out.  

 

This whole area was actually a fire sack where the Ukrainian brigades were hit with strikes all the time.

Posted

- Cyberattack on X, Musk claims that the IP addresses were from Ukraine.

 

-Trump asked about the escalated Russian attacks (Missiles and in Kursk region starting March 7th) after news that he halted military aid and ISR to Ukraine by the Washington Post; he deflected an answer

 

Kursk%20Direction%20March%2010,%202025.p48234510.jpg48202810.jpg48195510.jpg

Ukrainian invasion force almost thrown out of Kursk.  Russian internet/state media reporting on how they ambushed the Ukrainians from the rear by moving 800 troops through oil pipelines.

Posted

Ray Dalio, billionaire hedge fund manager compiled an analysis of the top 24 great powers going forward for his investment group:

 

https://economicprinciples.org/downloads/DalioRay_Power_Index_Appendix.pdf

 

https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/world-most-powerful-nations-where-183000329.html

 

IMHO his list is biased towards finance/measurements of nominal currency (rather than purchasing power) for economic analysis and naturally he and his team have hardly lived in the countries that they are judging this on.  The list is also biased towards western/allied countries.

 

I think there are 3 only great powers in this world: China, US, and Russia.  The rest are regional powers with only moderate potential.

 

For me, no. 1 is obviously China.  It already has the largest real economy in the world by far and an unbeatable army and navy.  Continues with fast economic growth.  Combined with a 'no limits' partnership with Russia and massive trade with it a lot of its strategic weaknesses are eliminated.

 

It does not seem to want to replace the US as the most influential and controlling global hegemon but rather manage the economic/military decline of the West and the United States.  A key objective is de-dollarization.

 

No. 2 the United States.  Very fractured and badly organized nation in which half of the population is highly developed but enslaved by capitalism while the other half lives in 3rd world/developing country conditions.  It has the potential to become a great country but has been failing badly for 30 years while falling into a black hole of consumer and government debt.  Declining on a yearly basis against the rest of the world both economically and militarily.   Yet the country has tremendous potential.

 

No.3 Russia.  A very underrated country due to the hatred it has for the outside world and hated by the combined West.  It is measured the 4th largest economy in the world by purchasing parity and its military remains unbeaten by the combined West in Ukraine.  It is also an unusually self-sufficient and growing country but it is balanced with a lot of problems.  Out of the 3 countries it has the strongest debt position but is dwarfed by China in real economy terms.  Its cities are well developed but it lacks a highly developed and large middle class.  Russia like the US has great potential.

 

 

Posted

Eurozone and allied powers of Asia (Australia, South Korea and Japan).  

 

All reached a level of development similar to the US lower-middle class but superior to the bottom half of the US population. 

The nordic countries did better than the rest.

 

Europeans spent money on social services instead of the military, weakening the latter to an alarming extent. 

 

Only South Korea and Japan have capable armed forces/mic but are utterly dwarfed by China's.

 

The 'happy times' for Europe/asia is coming to the end as internal economic/demographic problems and stagnation remained unresolved.

 

Future economic growth will largely have to come from expanding the military against Russia/US retreat from occupied Europe.

 

This will massively lower the civilian standard of living, especially the subsidized poor.

Posted

Kursk%20Direction%20March%2022,%202025.pKharkiv%20Direction%20March%2022,%202025

 

Russian forces are starting to seep into Sumy; probably they are trying to repeat what they did in Kharkiv and create a fixing operation in enemy territory and prevent them from crossing the border.

 

Luhansk%20Oblast%20March%2022,%202025.pnLuhansk%20Oblast%20March%2022,%202025.pnPokrovsk%20Direction%20March%2022,%20202

 

The Russians have Luhansk Oblast and their biggest final challenge in the war is the concentration of Donetsk Oblast cities.  They are positioned outside of the fortified Pokrovsk line.

 

Zaporizhia%20Direction%20March%2022,%202Kherson%20Direction%20March%2022,%202025

 

They are also starting to seep deeper into Z-Oblast.  The final Kherson Bridgehead has not been attempted at all for ages.

 

The Russians will probably try to clear Donetsk first, and then concentrate on the Southern front after they are done.  If they attempt to take the cities they have to systematically blow them up street by street like Bakhmut  and Mariupol.

 

  • 1 month later...

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