As of 6/20 the Ukrainian counteroffensive continues to be highly incompetent, hundreds of vehicles knocked out or destroyed and waves of assault platoons & companies pushed forward with almost no progress. 3 new Ukr brigades have been moved to the front, likely to be used.
It is a turkey shoot for the Russian long ranged weapons and their own losses are low. Of the 200+ footage and galleries of destroyed or knocked out Ukrainian AFVs in the Z-Oblast approx. 1/3 are from air-ground missiles. 1/4th are direct hits from kamikaze drones. The rest are mainly from drone- artillery and GLONASS laser-guided rounds.
The fighting has currently degenerated into a positional character. There is no longer use of massed armor for breakthroughs; it is now assault companies & platoons with AFV as assault guns.
I wonder if Ukraine's military and political top will continue this unfavorable exchange for another month or if they will find a way to cancel the offensive. These resources are from their pov way better used for defense.
Or they have some kind of trick up their sleeve that they will reveal later. But it's already been 16 days of combat.
This war really seems to be like World War 1. If Russia wants to make big advances again, they would have to finish rebuilding their reserve army and accumulating equipment. And even after reform efforts they must be prepared to lose all their AFVs again like the original tank-artillery army that invaded Ukraine. Just a terrible situation on both sides.