7/11
The counteroffensive is still stuck in the screening line after 6 weeks of attacks. Ukraine has lost approx. over 1/3rd of their armored vehicle reserve and there is footage of over 500 Ukrainian vehicles being destroyed. The majority of these footage are of NATO armored cars (MRAP, IFV, APC) and Soviet tanks along with two battalions of Bradleys and one battalion of Western tanks. The bulk of western tanks are being withheld and the 8-brigade armored strike fist hasn't been used yet.
The lack of firepower and most directly, the extreme lack of combat engineering assets and skills has doomed Ukrainian-NATO efforts. Their ability to remove mines is way too poor and they get shot to pieces while they are attempting to do so.
The propaganda & excuse making game has been going on from Ukraine-NATO and it appears that either Ukraine will cut their losses and quit or they will go all the way until the first week of September 2023. If their reserve have 1500 destroyed and damaged armored vehicles by Sept 7 2023 then NATO-Ukraine will have nothing serious to attack with for the next couple of years. US would have to self-cannibalize to continue the war in its current state.
There seems to be no 'trick' up NATO's sleeve for this counteroffensive. If they had it, it would have been deployed by now.