-
Posts
40,720 -
Joined
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Articles
Everything posted by Cult Icon
-
"For all evils there are two remedies -- time and silence. And now leave me, Monsieur Bertuccio, to walk alone here in the garden. The very circumstances which inflict on you, as a principal in the tragic scene enacted here, such painful emotions, are to me, on the contrary, a source of something like contentment, and serve but to enhance the value of this dwelling in my estimation. The chief beauty of trees consists in the deep shadow of their umbrageous boughs, while fancy pictures a moving multitude of shapes and forms flitting and passing beneath that shade. Here I have a garden laid out in such a way as to afford the fullest scope for the imagination, and furnished with thickly grown trees, beneath whose leafy screen a visionary like myself may conjure up phantoms at will. This to me, who expected but to find a blank enclosure surrounded by a straight wall, is, I assure you, a most agreeable surprise. I have no fear of ghosts, and I have never heard it said that so much harm had been done by the dead during six thousand years as is wrought by the living in a single day. Retire within, Bertuccio, and tranquillize your mind. Should your confessor be less indulgent to you in your dying moments than you found the Abbe Busoni, send for me, if I am still on earth, and I will soothe your ears with words that shall effectually calm and soothe your parting soul ere it goes forth to traverse the ocean called eternity." Alexandre Dumas
-
hahaha, this is for the midgets
-
-
Noel and Megan too (I like both). Lorena also. Megan was Nadine's roommate for a long time.
-
Nadine's bacherette party all her friends are models/model tier !
-
o e.
-
Ukraine has decided to fight the battle of Severodonetsk-Lysychansk (pop base 200,000). They sent a female MP into the city as a "political commissar". They began counterattacks yesterday from the industrial district, which they still hold. All bridges to Severodonetsk are destroyed except one.
-
Series Mag 28 NSFW
-
Finally, I am doing Witcher 3 100% full review again after 6-7 years, but this time I have done all the prerequisites: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL90YOFBe2p0z2WlA2-Jgc1n80_p_S5a0p
-
“a man, with his face half-covered by a black beard, and who, concealed behind the sentry-box, watched the scene with delight, uttered these words in a low tone: "Be happy, noble heart, be blessed for all the good thou hast done and wilt do hereafter, and let my gratitude remain in obscurity like your good deeds.” Alexandre Dumas
-
-
-
https://www.instagram.com/weronikaraczkowski/?hl=en
-
The clip posted doesn't mean she is bi (she has had a boyfriend in the past).
-
Finished 100% of Witcher 2 and all side quests. Unlike W1/W3 the game has an extreme focus on politics and plots. It is loyal to the novels and very complicated. Overall it is impressive achievement but definitely polarizing. Players who aren't into game of thrones will be even less interested in Witcher politics. Where they dropped the ball was getting players to be truly invested in the characters and political stakes. Game of Throne's most important attribute was the very charismatic characters. Witcher 2 and the Netflix show have the same problem of not getting the audience invested in the characters' fates. The Roche Path is far superior to the Ioveth path and dramatically improved the game. The developers did more work here. However, Roche is a rather boring/generic character. They could have replaced Roche with a much more interesting personality. I was very surprised to see how significant he was in W2, literally Geralt's no. 2 if you take the Roche Path. There are a few, maybe 3 or so side quests that are as good as those in W3. The rest are about Assasin's creed level. W2 is a solidly long game, maybe 40 hrs if one plays all side quests/ both paths, and a lot less if they play only 1 path. Witcher 1 is about 50 hrs for a 100% playthrough. An efficient W3/DLC 100% playthrough is over 130 hours. Princess Anais is a stand-in for child Ciri and will likely appear in Witcher 4. W2's story provides the background for many characters that re-appear in W3, in particular the Temeria/Radovid drama and the Sorceresses of the Lodge.
-
Natalie Roser's latest series mag has a lot of close ups of her hairy arms (like an earlier series mag). I don't mind it, I l find peach fuzz cute but it is funny that she gets her legs waxed but ignores her arms lol
-
-
o
-
“For myself I want nothing. I live, as it were, between two graves. One is that of Edmond Dantès, lost to me long, long since. He had my love! That word ill becomes my faded lip now, but it is a memory dear to my heart, and one that I would not lose for all that the world contains. The other grave is that of the man who met his death from the hand of Edmond Dantès. I approve of the deed, but I must pray for the dead.” Alexandre Dumas
-
Doesn't Scarlett date men? What's all this talk of her being with women? Bi? They could be just fooling around and it's not a relationship.
-
To sum things up, the war is highly unlikely to be a peer conflict after 200 days provided that Russia still has the political will to continue the war. The key is the destruction of Ukraine's artillery forces, which is provided the vast majority of their combat power. Even if the Russians do not advance and just sit there and shoot them up with their firepower superiority it is likely that they will cripple the Ukrainian artillery force to a very low percentage of capability after 200 more days. The Ukrainian manpower superiority remains their most durable arm, but beyond the pre-war cadre and active reservists, the rest will have a very low level of training. So in history books the Ukraine war would be dated 2022 or 2022-2023.
-
According to the research by Military Balance 2021 (IISS), Ukraine's artillery forces, the core of their defensive power had: ARTILLERY 1,818 (of these SP 607+. MRL 354. TOWED 515+. MOR 120mm 340) (4,260 in store: 122mm 2,000 2S1 Gvozdika; 152mm 2,000: 1,000 2S3 Akatsiya; 850 2S5 Giatsint-S; 150 2S19 Msta-S; 203mm 260 2S7 Pion) Their first tier, professional army, navy, and airborne forces were 155,000 men in total. 2nd tier forces consisted of 102,000 paramilitary and 60,000 National Guard. To top this off they had 900,000 reservists in 2021. ----------- Let's say Zelensky claims are correct (600 casualties a day). 600 x 60 is 36,000 casualties in April-May 2022 for the "second phase of the special military operation". So the Russians are capable of inflicting 18,000 casualties a month on the Ukrainians. Confirmed Russian deaths (over 2,622) by the BBC RU show that Russia deaths have dramatically declined in April-May. Their death rate was the highest in March 2022. Let's say the Ukrainians also lost 600 men a day in the "first phase". The real losses are probably much higher than this. 600 x 100 days of combat is 60,000 casualties for Ukraine. The overwhelming majority of these losses fall on their pre-war army, a force of some 317,000 men. Besides this they have 900,000 reservists that they are converting into replacements for frontline units or cadres for new territorial/security formation. Plus countless more untrained and overaged/unfit conscripts from their male population. The Ukrainians are very weak in all categories except for artillery and manpower. If IISS figures are accurate (combined with US/NATO deliveries) we are looking at some 6,300 heavy artillery pieces. As of 6/3 the Russian ministry of defense claims this "In total, 186 Ukrainian aircraft and 129 helicopters, 1,087 unmanned aerial vehicles, 328 anti-aircraft missile systems, 3,386 tanks and other armored combat vehicles, 462 multiple launch rocket systems, 1,760 field artillery and mortars, as well as 3,376 units of special military vehicles were destroyed during the operation." Combined with this are a few factors concerning the core of Russian combat power: 1. very consistent air and missile support (from Pentagon briefings) of 300-200 air force sorties a day plus 35 strategic missile launches per day for 100 days. 2. increasing Russian firepower of all types on the ground as they improve their logistics. 3. The combined wear and tear of strategic Russian interdiction operations over Ukraine's logistics and ability to supply their military over the course of 100 plus days. The most optimistic and exaggerated Russian claim consider 1/3 of Ukraine's artillery force to be destroyed. Based on this claim, they would destroy Ukraine's artillery forces to the last weapon in 200 more days. Minimum 60,000 Ukrainian casualties would leave around 250,000 men left from their pre-war army plus 900,000 reservists. Besides that the untrained and/or unfit/overaged conscripts would be only fit for territorial defense or security units. The core of Ukraine's army is their pre-war cadre. Perhaps 80% of them still remain after 100 days of combat. After 200 more days (and provided the same assumptions) there should be much more than 40% of them left, which is still enough to provide cadres and leadership for formations. However by that time their artillery situation should be catastrophic and their casualty inflicting power very low and only a low percentage of what it once was.
-
6/1/2022 map of Ukrainian troop dispositions (the Austrian Colonel posted above also uses it in his lecture), plotting from official Ukrainian military sources: https://militaryland.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/day_98_Siverskyi-Donets_3.png -Ukraine in April - May 2022 reinforced the Donbass with 7 Territorial brigades. (Ukrainian volksgrenadiers- these are 2nd rate units with a low standard of training and inferior equipment compared professional Ukrainian military formations, intended only for defense) These are the 101, 102, 103, 105, 106, 107, and 125 Territorial defense brigades. -Encircled Ukrainian forces (6/1/2022) are: 4th Sec Brigade 17th Tank Brigade 27th Sec Brigade 58th Motorized Infantry Brigade 111th Territorial Defense Brigade 118th Territorial Defense Brigade National Battalion "Donbass" 15th Sec Regiment OF these, the twin cities are defended by: 4th Sec Brigade 27th Sec Brigade 111th Territorial Defense Brigade on the flanks: 17th Tank Brigade, 15th Sec Regiment. These are 2nd and 3rd tier units (Ukrainian volkstrum/volksgrenadier- units with low training and overaged people) with the 1st tier forces being tied up elsewhere in the Donbass. This means that the Russian generalship was successful at weakening the Sieverodonesk-Lynschansk area, leaving the twin cities (200,000 pop. base) open. The Russians currently have pushed the Ukrainian defenders to the final 25% of the Sieverodonesk, which is the industrial quarter. They are attempting to encircle both cities right now. Ukraine may or may not choose to fight this urban battle. IF they do not, they will retreat to the west and the next big urban battles will be in the Donetsk Oblast. This would also mean that they give up on the Luhansk area.
-
-