DAYS OF RECKONING WILL SOON BE HERE by Larry Brooks / New York Post March 13, 2005 -- IF GARY Bettman has said it once, he has said it dozens of times throughout the lockout. The NHL, the Commissioner of the Owners has repeatedly testified, would lose less money by not playing the 2004-05 season than by playing it. It's become part of the league's mantra. But if this is true, then why would the NHL be offering less to the players now than it was a year ago? If an overwhelming majority of clubs are in better financial shape today than they were, say, last June, why wouldn't the league's CBA offers to the PA be more generous than they were last summer? Days of reckoning are fast approaching as the NHL lurches forward on its path of crisis mismanagement, scabs, replacement options and self-destruction. Forget the Entry Draft, forget training camp, forget the autumn. The first deadline the NHL faces is the one upcoming in approximately two months, when teams are scheduled to send "renewal" invoices to their season ticket-holders. This past Thursday morning, we sent e-mails to all 30 teams (and copied the league office) requesting the following information: a) the approximate date of invoice mailing; B) whether ticket prices would be lowered, and, if so, by what percentage; c) whether pricing would be dependent upon a CBA being negotiated, and whether pricing would be affected by a league decision to proceed with "replacement players;" and, d) whether current subscribers would be permitted to decline "renewals" while retaining their status and seat locations if "replacements" are used next season. A senior NHL official contacted us that afternoon, explaining that those decisions had not yet been reached by the clubs, and while teams would be permitted to establish their own policies, the league would issue a directive recommending guidelines pertaining to all issues raised in the e-mail. Meetings on the subject, we were informed, are ongoing. Understand just how critical is resolution of these issues to the NHL's approach to bargaining with the union — if not to the league's very viability. Despite citing myriad unscientific public opinion polls showing support for the owners (and how is life in the White House after carrying Ohio and Florida, President Kerry?) the league cannot expect season-ticket holders to renew at anything resembling full price without a consummated CBA guaranteeing return of the world's best players to the ice. Think: walking into an auto showroom and putting down a nonrefundable payment without knowing whether you'll be driving away with a Mercedes or a Hyundai. At the same time, dramatically slashing ticket prices for a "replacement season" would denote official league recognition of its intent to present an inferior product to its customers. How would that play with the sponsors and television and radio rights holders? What's more, if teams do send out invoices at dramatically reduced rates for next season, what would stop the NHLPA from immediately instructing all of the players under contract to report for next season, perhaps even decertifying in order to do so? How would it play in St. Louis, if the Blues cut prices by 50 percent for a replacement season but face obligations to pay their 13 players under contract for 2005-06 the full $31.4M to which they're entitled? How about Philadelphia, where the Flyers have 13 players at $44.4M under contract for next year, or in Detroit, where the Red Wings are in for $50.3M for 16 players? What about the balance sheets then? And how would it play with long-time season subscribers if they are strong-armed into renewing for a replacement season with threats of loss of rights to their seats? How will it play when the loyal customers recognize once and for all that it is their money the billionaire owners are actually using to finance the lockout, the product be damned? The days of reckoning for the league are just around the corner. * So Ed Snider walked out of the March 1 Board meeting in Manhattan waving his rhetorical fists at Bob Goodenow. Funny that the Flyers' chairman forgot to mention how he was shouted down in the meeting upon joining the Maple Leafs in an attempt to impose their big-market will on the Board and Bettman. Indeed, an embedded mole has told Slap Shots that Snider was summarily silenced when L.A. owner Phil Anschutz said something sounding suspiciously like, "I can buy you and sell you." Meanwhile, we've learned that Wayne Gretzky was denounced in absentia at the Board meeting by St. Louis CEO Mark Sauer and Dallas president Jim Lites as being too "player-friendly," before Glen Sather restored order with a speech supporting No. 99. Finally, Dom Hasek announces his intent to retire if a CBA isn't reached by the summer. This just in: the same goes for Johnny Bower.